Jeg deler bare min erfaring for at give jer en idé om de spil, vi spiller, og de meget fine regler, der gælder for softwaren!
Opsummering af situationen:
Jeg spillede 112 spins til €0,10 hver.
Jeg modtog €0,00 tilbage.
Jeg spillede Volcano Coin på Tortuga Casino (licenseret på Curaçao).
Er dette matematisk muligt?
Rimelig antagelse: sejrsrate = 25%
Selv en meget volatil spilleautomat har ofte en gevinstrate pr. spin på omkring 20% til 30%, hvilket betyder:
1 ud af 4 spins giver mindst en lille gevinst (selv €0,02 eller en "falsk gevinst").
Sandsynlighedsberegning
Hvis sandsynligheden for ikke at vinde på et enkelt spin er 75%, så er sandsynligheden for at tabe 112 gange i træk:
P=(0,75)112≈2,3×10⁻⁴P = (0,75)^{112} \approx 2,3 \times 10^{-14}P=(0,75)112≈2,3×10⁻⁴Det er cirka 1 ud af 43.689.143.880.000 (omtrent 43 billioner).
🧨 Selv med et pessimistisk estimat?
Hvis vi antager en meget lav gevinstrate på 15% (så en 0,85 chance for at tabe hvert spin):
P=(0,85)112≈7,2×10⁻⁶P = (0,85)^{112} \approx 7,2 \times 10^{-9}P=(0,85)112≈7,2×10⁻⁶Det er cirka 1 ud af 138 millioner.
🎯 Matematisk konklusion:
Selv med et meget ugunstigt estimat er dette udfald statistisk set næsten umuligt på en virkelig fair spilleautomat.
Hvad synes I om dette, da det ser ud til, at disse spiludbydere er beskyttet af både regulatorer og casinoer!
I an just sharing my experience to give you an idea on the games we play and the very nice regulations done on the softwares!
Recap of the situation:
i played 112 spins at €0.10 each.
i received €0.00 in return.
i played Volcano Coin on Tortuga Casino (licensed in Curaçao).
Is this mathematically possible?
Reasonable assumption: win rate = 25%
Even a highly volatile slot often has a win rate per spin of around 20% to 30%, meaning:
1 out of 4 spins gives at least a small win (even €0.02 or a "fake win").
Probability Calculation
If the probability of not winning on a single spin is 75%, then the probability of losing 112 times in a row is:
P=(0.75)112≈2.3×10−14P = (0.75)^{112} \approx 2.3 \times 10^{-14}P=(0.75)112≈2.3×10−14That’s about 1 in 43,689,143,880,000 (roughly 43 trillion).
🧨 Even with a pessimistic estimate?
If we assume a very low win rate of 15% (so a 0.85 chance of losing each spin):
P=(0.85)112≈7.2×10−9P = (0.85)^{112} \approx 7.2 \times 10^{-9}P=(0.85)112≈7.2×10−9That’s about 1 in 138 million.
🎯 Mathematical Conclusion:
Even with a very unfavorable estimate, this outcome is statistically almost impossible on a truly fair slot machine.
what do you guys think of this as it seems these gaming providers are protected by both regulators and casinos!






